I know people don't read this blog for politics, but the past week has seen a couple of very unusual situations, and I think it's worth having a discussion of science, its role in policy-making, and the people who work on these issues at the highest levels. (If you want, view this as writing-therapy for my general anxiety and move on.)
As a political reality, it's important to understand that science does not, itself, make policy. Public policy is complicated and messy because it involves people, who as a rule are also complicated and messy. Deciding to set fuel standards for non-electric cars to 200 miles per gallon beginning next year and requiring that the fuel all be made from biological sources would be extremely bold, but it would also be completely unworkable and enormously disruptive. That said, when policy must be made that has a science and technology aspect, it's critical that actual scientific and engineering knowledge be presented at the table. If science isn't in the room where it happens, then we can make bad situations worse. (It's been one of the great privileges of my career to have had the chance to meet and interact with some of the people who have worked on policy. One of the most depressing aspects of the past four years has been the denigration of expertise, the suggestion that no one with detailed technical knowledge can be trusted because they're assumed to be on the make.) The pandemic has shined a spotlight on this, as well as showing the (also complicated and messy) scientific process of figuring out how the disease works.
A million years ago at the beginning of this week, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy put out a press release, linking to a detailed report (pdf), about their science and technology accomplishments over the last four years. The top highlight in the press release was "Ending the pandemic". That language doesn't appear anywhere in the actual report, but it sure shows up front and center in the press release. After this was met with, shall we say, great skepticism (almost 100,000 cases per day, about 1000 deaths per day doesn't sound like an ending to this), the administration walked it back, saying the release was "poorly worded". The question that comes to mind: How can Kelvin Droegemeier, the presidential science advisor and head of OSTP, continue in that position? There is essentially zero chance that he approved that press release language. It must have been added after he and OSTP staff produced and signed off on the report, and therefore it was either over his objections or without his knowledge. Either way, under ordinary circumstances that would be the kind of situation that leads to an offer of resignation.
In a weird complement of this, yesterday evening, Dr. Anthony Fauci gave an interview to the Washington Post, where he stated a number of points with great frankness, including his opinion that the pandemic was in a very dangerous phase and that he disagreed in the strongest terms with Dr. Scott Atlas. Dr. Atlas has seemingly become the chief advisor to the administration on the pandemic, despite having views that disagree with a large number of public health experts. The White House in the same Post article takes Dr. Fauci to task for airing his grievances publicly. Again, the question comes to mind: How can Dr. Fauci continue to serve on the coronavirus policy task force, when he clearly disagrees with how this is being handled?
As I alluded back in late 2016, these situations remind me of this book, The Dilemmas of an Upright Man, about Max Planck and his difficult decision to remain in Germany and helping to influence German science during WWII. His rationale was that it was much better for German science if he stayed there, where he thought he could at least be a bit of a moderating influence, than for him to be completely outside the system.
There are no easy answers here about the right course of action - to quit on principle when that might lead to more chaos, or to try to exert influence from within even in the face of clear evidence that such influence is minimal at best. What I do know is that we face a complicated world filled with myriad challenges, and that science and engineering know-how is going to be needed in any credible effort to surmount those problems. The cost of ignoring, or worse, actively attacking technical expertise is just too high.