Thursday, May 06, 2010
Perhaps a more economically savvy and inclined reader could comment, but is it fair to say that some fraction of the recent decline of the US stock markets (excepting dramatic short-term spikes like the one this afternoon between 14:30 and 15:00 EDT) is not a "real" decline, but a reflection of the increased value of the dollar relative to the euro? From what I can see, the euro has fallen about 8.5% against the dollar since mid March, and the US financial markets are actually down about 4% (mostly in the last week or two) over the same time period. Naively, if dollars are worth more, one should see "deflation" on the dollar-denominated stock markets, I would guess....
Posted by Douglas Natelson at 2:24 PM